Cronin, David and McQuinn, Kieran (2017) The cyclicality of Irish fiscal policy ex-ante and ex-post. ESRI WP581, December 2017. [Working Paper]
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Abstract
The cyclicality of fiscal policy in Ireland in the budgetary plans put before parliament and ex-post is considered. Data in budgetary documents and particular econometric estimation procedures help address endogeneity issues and provide numerous variable-estimation procedure combinations for assessing cyclicality. Fiscal policy in Ireland is found to be procyclical on both ex-ante and ex-post bases. The evidence is mixed between policy being more pro-cyclical ex-post than was intended at Budget time and there being no difference. With the preventive arm of the Stability and Growth Pact now applying to Ireland, a continuation of procyclical fiscal policy would endanger its requirements being met.
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Item Type: | Working Paper |
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Subjects for non-EU documents: | EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > environmental policy (including international arena) Countries > Ireland EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > budgets & financing EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > economic and financial affairs > fiscal policy |
Subjects for EU documents: | UNSPECIFIED |
EU Series and Periodicals: | UNSPECIFIED |
EU Annual Reports: | UNSPECIFIED |
Series: | Series > Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), Dublin > ESRI Working Papers |
Depositing User: | Phil Wilkin |
Official EU Document: | No |
Language: | English |
Date Deposited: | 26 Dec 2019 14:55 |
Number of Pages: | 21 |
Last Modified: | 26 Dec 2019 14:55 |
URI: | http://aei.pitt.edu/id/eprint/102194 |
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