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Quarterly Economic Commentary Research Notes, Autumn 2015

Duffy, David and McQuinn, Kieran and Morley, Ciara and Foley, Daniel (2015) Quarterly Economic Commentary Research Notes, Autumn 2015. [Working Paper]

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    Abstract

    The pace of the Irish recovery would appear to be increasing; the latest National Accounts indicate that output in the economy grew by over 5 per cent in 2014 and by almost 2 per cent in Q2 2015 alone. Use of the nowcasting model (summarised in the Appendix) suggests the economy is growing through Q3 by approximately 1.5 per cent per quarter in 2015. Accordingly, we now update our forecast for GDP in 2015 to 6 per cent, with GNP expected to grow marginally less at 5.9 per cent. One significant consequence of this is that Irish income per capita, which fell significantly post-2007, is now back to the peak level prior to the financial crisis.

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    Item Type: Working Paper
    Subjects for non-EU documents: Countries > Ireland
    EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > economic and financial affairs
    Subjects for EU documents: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Series and Periodicals: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Annual Reports: UNSPECIFIED
    Series: Series > Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), Dublin > ESRI Quarterly Economic Commentary
    Depositing User: Phil Wilkin
    Official EU Document: No
    Language: English
    Date Deposited: 12 Sep 2019 15:01
    Number of Pages: 8
    Last Modified: 12 Sep 2019 15:03
    URI: http://aei.pitt.edu/id/eprint/99614

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