Shattered Illusions: The new Brexit proposals on customs. CEPS Commentary, 17 July 2018

Pelkmans, Jacques. (2018) Shattered Illusions: The new Brexit proposals on customs. CEPS Commentary, 17 July 2018. [Policy Paper]

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Abstract

With just five months to go, allowing three for ratification, what will the post-Brexit EU/UK relationship look like? On the colossal matter of post-Brexit arrangements, almost nothing has been agreed except the avoidance mechanism of 21 months of status-quo during the ‘transition period’ beginning late March 2019. And we are no closer to an answer to the most unnerving question: without any workable ‘deal’ on customs, will ports grind to a halt, generating gigantic queues of lorries? As recently as one month ago, a House of Lords report[1] still discussed the delusional UK customs proposals of August 2017 that had already been rejected by EU negotiators. The cliff-edge looms large over the UK government, the EU and business on both sides.

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