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Assessment of QEC Forecasts, 1984-90. Quarterly Economic Commentary Special Article, Spring 1991

Wren, Anne and Baker, T.J. and Scott, S. (1991) Assessment of QEC Forecasts, 1984-90. Quarterly Economic Commentary Special Article, Spring 1991. [Working Paper]

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    Abstract

    Like most economic forecasters, we keep an informal check on the performance of our forecasts. Significant errors are analysed in the hope of minimising their recurrence in the future. There is a strong case, however, for undertaking and publishing a more structured overview of forecasting performance from time to time. Studying several years' forecasts together should indicate whether there is any tendency for errors to follow persistent patterns. Accordingly, this exercise examines the forecasts presented in Quarterly Economic Commentaries (QEC) for the years from 1984 to 1990.

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    Item Type: Working Paper
    Subjects for non-EU documents: Countries > Ireland
    EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > economic and financial affairs
    Subjects for EU documents: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Series and Periodicals: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Annual Reports: UNSPECIFIED
    Series: Series > Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), Dublin > ESRI Quarterly Economic Commentary
    Depositing User: Phil Wilkin
    Official EU Document: No
    Language: English
    Date Deposited: 24 Oct 2019 12:03
    Number of Pages: 32
    Last Modified: 24 Oct 2019 12:03
    URI: http://aei.pitt.edu/id/eprint/100895

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