One step forward, two steps back: Towards no deal by default or design. EPC Discussion Paper, 28 January 2019

Zuleeg, Fabian (2019) One step forward, two steps back: Towards no deal by default or design. EPC Discussion Paper, 28 January 2019. [Discussion Paper]

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Abstract

The UK political system is deadlocked, unable to make a decision between the different Brexit options on the table, with a high degree of uncertainty of what will happen next. The final outcome is far from clear: while many UK politicians reiterate that no deal does not command a majority, it remains the most likely outcome, as it is the default specified in Article 50, whatever Westminster decides. To prevent this worst-case scenario, more time is needed to find an alternative that can command a majority in the House of Commons, while at the same time is compatible with the principles of the EU. This will require statesmanship on the UK side but it is far from certain that someone will step up to the plate.

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