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The future of the eurozone and gold. CEPS Special Report, 3 September 2010

Alcidi, Cinzia and De Grauwe, Paul and Gros, Daniel and Oh, Yonghyup. (2010) The future of the eurozone and gold. CEPS Special Report, 3 September 2010. UNSPECIFIED.

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    Abstract

    This report considers four short-term, alternative scenarios for the eurozone and analyses their possible implications for global economic trends and the gold market. Overall, the main findings suggest that in the near future, motives other than inflation hedging will be the main drivers of gold market dynamics. Growth in emerging economies, which are among the largest sources of gold demand, and financial market uncertainty, will be the most important ones. In particular, even if the worst scenario were to materialise and adverse global conditions could slow Asian growth, demand for gold from this region should not fall significantly. Moreover, even in the most optimistic scenario for the eurozone, global uncertainty will not evaporate easily. As a consequence, the gold price may continue to trend upwards for a period driven by investment demand from both the private sector and official investors.

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    Item Type: Other
    Subjects for non-EU documents: EU policies and themes > External relations > international economy
    EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > economic and financial affairs > Single Market > capital, goods, services, workers
    Subjects for EU documents: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Series and Periodicals: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Annual Reports: UNSPECIFIED
    Series: Series > Centre for European Policy Studies (Brussels) > CEPS Special Reports
    Depositing User: Phil Wilkin
    Official EU Document: No
    Language: English
    Date Deposited: 21 Sep 2010
    Page Range: p. 44
    Last Modified: 15 Feb 2011 18:37
    URI: http://aei.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14979

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