How the COVID-19 pandemic will develop in Ukraine. OSW Commentary NUMBER 323 27.03.2020

Iwanski, Tadeusz and Matuszak, Sławomir and Żochowski, Piotr (2020) How the COVID-19 pandemic will develop in Ukraine. OSW Commentary NUMBER 323 27.03.2020. [Policy Paper]

PDF - Published Version Download (265Kb)

Abstract

According to data compiled by Ukraine’s Ministry of Health, by 27 March more than 200 cases of COVID-19 were confirmed nationwide, with five fatalities. However, there is a risk of the epidemic soon developing on a much larger scale. This is due to the high daily increase in the number of infections diagnosed, the unpreparedness and inefficiency of the healthcare sector, the shortage of medical equipment, the ongoing dispute in the Ministry of Health, and the organisational and financial weakness of the Ukrainian state combined with of the ruling elite’s limited experience of governance. At the present stage, the possible consequences of the pandemic are difficult to forecast. However, it is certain that Ukraine will see a deep recession (the most optimistic forecasts spell a 5% drop in Ukraine’s GDP in 2020).

Actions (login required)