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Scenarios for Global Ageing: An Investigation with the INGENUE 2 World Model. ENEPRI Research Reports No. 9, 1 July 2005

Aglietta, Michel and Borgy, Vladimir and Chateau, Jean. (2005) Scenarios for Global Ageing: An Investigation with the INGENUE 2 World Model. ENEPRI Research Reports No. 9, 1 July 2005.

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Abstract

This paper explores the consequences of pension reforms in Western Europe in a world economy setting. Whereas various economic and social consequences of population ageing have been investigated in OECD countries, very few analyses have explicitly taken the worldwide aspect of the problem into account. In order to do so, this report relies on the latest version of the INGENUE World Model (2). This applied, international, overlapping-generations, general-equilibrium model of the world economy has been built specifically to analyse the international capital flows and growth dynamics induced by the different degrees of population ageing taking place in the various regions of the world. After a description of the major features of the baseline scenario of the model for the world economy over the next 50 years, the authors explore the domestic and international macroeconomic consequences of two scenarios of pension reform in Western Europe as well as their intergenerational distributional effects. These scenarios are then compared with a specific migration scenario, making use of the new features of the INGENUE 2 model.

Item Type:Other
Remote Resource Image:
Public Domain:No
Refereed:No
Status:Published
Authors, Individual:Aglietta, Michel and Borgy, Vladimir and Chateau, Jean.
Title:Scenarios for Global Ageing: An Investigation with the INGENUE 2 World Model. ENEPRI Research Reports No. 9, 1 July 2005
Language:English
Institution:The Centre for European Policy Studies
Journals and Series:Series > Centre for European Policy Studies (Brussels) > ENEPRI Research Reports
Number:9
Pages:45
Month:July
Year:2005
Subjects:EU policies and themes > External relations > international economy
EU policies and themes > Policies & related activities > social policy > welfare state
ID Code:9505
Deposited By:Wilkin, Phil
Deposited On:17 August 2009