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Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China. Bruegel Working Paper 2014/11, 9 October 2014

Amstad, Marlene and Huan, Ye and Ma, Guonan (2014) Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China. Bruegel Working Paper 2014/11, 9 October 2014. [Working Paper]

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    Abstract

    This paper develops a new underlying inflation gauge (UIG) for China which differentiates between trend and noise, is available daily and uses a broad set of variables that potentially influence inflation. Its construction follows the works at other major central banks, adopts the methodology of a dynamic factor model that extracts the lower frequency components as developed by Forni et al (2000) and draws on the experience of the People’s Bank of China in modelling inflation.

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    Item Type: Working Paper
    Uncontrolled Keywords: Inflation, Dynamic Factor Models, Core Inflation, Monetary Policy, Forecasting, China.
    Subjects for non-EU documents: Countries > China
    Subjects for EU documents: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Series and Periodicals: UNSPECIFIED
    EU Annual Reports: UNSPECIFIED
    Series: Series > Bruegel (Brussels) > Working Papers
    Depositing User: Phil Wilkin
    Official EU Document: No
    Language: English
    Date Deposited: 10 Oct 2014 10:38
    Number of Pages: 24
    Last Modified: 10 Oct 2014 10:38
    URI: http://aei.pitt.edu/id/eprint/55793

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