An Analysis of Industrial Exports. Quarterly Economic Commentary, January 1969

Baker, Terence J. (1969) An Analysis of Industrial Exports. Quarterly Economic Commentary, January 1969. [Working Paper]

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Abstract

There is no need to justify any attempt to obtain a greater understanding of the factors influencing the level of Irish exports. The importance of exports to the economy, the e]{tent to which their rate of growth has varied from year to year, and the fact that a forecast of their level is fundamental to any econometric prediction of National Accounts are all too obvious to need stressing. Yet it is a curious fact that very little serious analysis of exports has been published, and export forecasts, by the staff of the Institute as well as by other forecasters, have been based almost exclusively on intuitive reasoning and direct inquiry.

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