Towards Refugee Burden-Sharing in the European Union
State Interests and Policy Options

	


Eiko R. Thielemann
Department of Government & European Institute
London School of Economics and Political Science
E.Thielemann@lse.ac.uk


	

Keywords: refugee protection, European Union, market mechanism, quotas, policy 
harmonisation, burden-sharing.

Abstract: 
This article shows that the refugee burdens among Western states are very unequally 
distributed and that this constitutes a problem not only for individual states, but also 
for the EU as whole.  It argues that despite many obstacles, the development of 
regional or international burden-sharing regimes is indeed desirable.  Attempts to 
explain or justify steps towards such a system do not have to rely solely on notions of 
solidarity but can be justified by more traditional interest-based motivations.  
However, it suggests that the EU's main burden-sharing initiatives which rely largely 
on policy harmonisation will not achieve the Union's objectives in this area.  It will be 
argued that market-based burden-sharing mechanisms need to be explored further and 
that such market driven policies when combined with policy harmonisation and 
quota-based initiatives are likely to contribute to a more equitable, efficient and 
effective refugee burden-sharing system.
	



Prepared for the Ninth Biennial International Conference of the European Union Studies 
Association (USA), March 31-April 2 2005, Austin, Texas









Towards Refugee Burden-Sharing in the European Union
State Interests and Policy Options


Introduction	2
How (un)equal is the current distribution of Refugee Burdens?	4
Why are Refugee Burdens unequally distributed?	6
Free-Riding Opportunities	6
Willingness to Accept Burdens	6
Structural Pull Factors	8
What factors are driving burden-sharing initiatives?	9
Norm-based motivations	10
Interest-based motivations	12
What kind of burden-sharing regime?	15
Policy Harmonisation	15
Hard Quotas	15
Market Mechanisms	18
Conclusion	22


Introduction

Rising numbers of refugees have meant that forced migration is now regarded as one 
of the key challenges facing nation states today.   The largest part of the world's 15 
million asylum seekers in 2001 sought refuge in developing countries.  However, 
since the early 1980s the number of asylum seekers in Europe has increased almost 
tenfold to 970.000 in 2001.  The distribution of increased numbers of refugees has 
been very uneven.  In the period between 1985 and 1999, Switzerland as the largest 
recipient of asylum seekers on average relative to its population size, was faced with 
30 percent more asylum applications than Sweden, 40 percent more than Germany, 6 
times as many as France and the UK, 30 times as many as Italy and 300 times as 
many as Portugal and Sweden (UNHCR 1999).  This challenge is made greater by the 
fact that one state's policy decisions on the relative leniency or restrictiveness of its 
asylum regime often create negative externalities for other states and can thus lead to 
strained relations between states.   There has therefore been increasing dissatisfaction 
with the system of international refugee protection which, in the eyes of many, suffers 
from substantial burden-sharing problems.   In recent years, a number of academic 
commentators have called for the creation or recognition of a norm of equitable 
international burden-sharing for refugees (e.g. Hathaway and Neve 1997; Fonteyne 
1983) and the establishment of concrete refugee burden-sharing mechanisms at the 
regional or global level (Schuck 1997; Noll 1997; Thielemann 2004). 

This has been also recognised by the EU where refugee burden-sharing has been 
discussed since the mid-1980s and to which the EU has repeatedly stated its 
commitment.  Most recently, this commitment was reiterated at the Brussels European 
Council meeting in November 2004.  In their final declaration, EU leaders stressed 
that the development of a common policy in the field of asylum, migration and 
borders "should be based on solidarity and fair sharing of responsibility including its 
financial implications and closer practical co-operation between member states".   
This concern has been echoed by the UNHCR for which 'Burden-sharing is a key to 
the protection of refugees and the resolution of the refugee problem'.   UNHCR's 
former High Commissioner has stressed:
'There is a need for responsibility- and burden-sharing within the EU […]I fear that 
high protection standards will be difficult to maintain in a system which shifts 
responsibility to states located on the external border of the EU, many of which have 
limited asylum capacity.'  
A sceptic might regard the refugee burden-sharing debate among Western politicians 
as being full of empty rhetoric, a debate that reflects wishful thinking on the part of 
some and the manipulative avoidance of tackling the real issues by many others who 
are well aware that 14 out of the world's 15 million refugees each year are 
accommodated by developing countries.

This article shows that the refugee burdens among Western states are also very 
unequally distributed and that this constitutes a problem not only for individual states, 
but also for the EU as whole.  It argues that despite many obstacles, the development 
of regional or international burden-sharing regimes is indeed desirable.  Attempts to 
explain or justify steps towards such a system do not have to rely solely on notions of 
solidarity but can be justified by more traditional interest-based motivations.  
However, it suggests that the EU's main burden-sharing initiatives which rely largely 
on policy harmonisation will not achieve the Union's objectives in this area.  It will be 
argued that market-based burden-sharing mechanisms need to be explored further and 
that such market driven policies when combined with policy harmonisation and 
quota-based initiatives are likely to contribute to a more equitable, efficient and 
effective refugee burden-sharing system.

To address the key question of why and how refugee burden-sharing should be done 
in the EU, the paper proceeds as follows.  In section 2, it proposes a way to estimate 
states' relative refugee burdens.  This is followed by a an attempt to identify the 
principal factors that are responsible for this distribution (section 3).  Section 4 
identifies the key objectives that states pursue in this area in an attempt to shed some 
light on the motivations behind recent burden-sharing initiatives.  This is followed by 
part 5 which presents the principal burden-sharing options in the refugee area and 
discusses their relative strengths and weaknesses.


How (un)equal is the current distribution of Refugee 
Burdens?

When comparing their relative contributions to refugee protection, stat are likely to 
disagree about how such contributions should be assessed.  By looking at some of the 
most directly linked burdens/responsibilities that countries are faced with as a result 
of international refugee flows, it is possible to arrive at some approximations of 
relative responsibilities that countries are faced with or prepared to accept.  Table 1 
below tries to do just that.  It presents UNHCR data on asylum and resettlement on 15 
OECD countries (columns 1&2) for the period 1994-2002.  Column 3 lists countries' 
relative burdens on the basis of asylum applications received and resettlement cases 
accepted (controlling for different population size of host countries).  Switzerland, the 
Netherlands and Belgium have had the largest relative numbers of asylum 
applications over that period, while Japan, Spain and Italy had the lowest. States have 
a substantial degree of discretion in how they deal with asylum seekers on their 
territory.  When dealing with asylum seekers, countries have generally three options.  
(1) Recognising their asylum claims, i.e. granting them refugee status under the 
Geneva Convention; (2) giving them some other protection status (such as 
'exceptional leave to remain') that allows them to legally live and (usually) work in 
the country, and (3) to reject an asylum claim and send the applicant back to their 
home country.   Column 6 in the table shows a substantial degree of variation in 
states' willingness to award asylum-seekers in their territory some form of temporary 
or permanent status (Convention or subsidiary protection status).  On average, the 
Netherlands, Denmark and Canada been the most generous host countries, while 
Japan, Germany and Australia were the toughest countries when handling requests for 
protection. 

[Insert Table 1 about here]

It is of course much easier for a country with small relative asylum inflows to operate 
a generous determination process than it is for a country faced with large inflows.  
Indeed previous studies have shown an inverse relationship between asylum 
application and the recognition rates reported here (Neumayer 2005).  Column 7 
provides an approximation of host countries' willingness to accept burdens resulting 
from 'spontaneous' refugees (i.e. non-resettlement refugees) by combining the relative 
number of asylum applications they have received with countries' average recognition 
rates.  The results reported in column 7 suggest that (relative to their population size) 
Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden are on the top of the list of countries which 
have disproportionately contributed to refugee protection by accepting displaced 
persons in their territory, while Japan, Poland and Portugal appear to have contributed 
least in this way.  Some countries with relatively small numbers of 'spontaneous' 
asylum applications take in considerable numbers of resettled refugees under a system 
whereby refugees with a particularly urgent or intractable problem in their first 
asylum country are transported to a another third country.   Taking account of both 
'spontaneous' and resettlement inflows, Column 8 presents a ranking of average 
accepted protection burdens.  When comparing the rankings in column 7 (spontaneous 
only) and column 8 (including resettlement), one sees that the inclusion of 
resettlement figures does make some difference in the relative ranking of some 
countries such as Norway, Canada and Australia without changing the overall picture 
significantly.  While the rankings arrived here can be criticised on a number of 
grounds, not least the comparability of figures that national authorities report to the 
UNHCR, they do arguably give a burden approximation (with countries such as 
Netherlands and Switzerland at the top and Japan at the bottom) which appears to be 
broadly in line with the intuition of experts in the field.  


Why are Refugee Burdens unequally distributed? 

When trying to account for the current distribution of refugee burdens among 
countries, three principal explanations can be identified.  In reverse order of 
importance, these are related to free-riding opportunities, state interests and variation 
in pull-factors.

Free-Riding Opportunities
Similar to the NATO burden-sharing debate, there have been protests and free-riding 
accusations from the main receiving countries as well as resulting threats by some 
states to opt out of the Geneva Convention for the Protection of Refugees to which all 
OECD countries are signatories. A number of scholars, most prominently Suhrke 
(1998), have suggested that refugee protection has (at least in part) important 'public 
good' characteristics. Suhrke argues that the reception of displaced persons can be 
regarded an international public good from which all states benefit.  In her view, 
increased security can be regarded as the principal (non-excludable and non-rival) 
benefit, as an accommodation of displaced persons can be expected to reduce the risk 
of them fuelling and spreading the conflict they are fleeing from.  A public good is 
defined by its properties of non-excludability and non-rivalry. It is these properties 
which set it apart from a private good.  The provision of a public good, such as the 
additional security provided by refugee protection, benefits not only countries which 
contribute to the protection of displaced persons but these benefits are also extended 
to other actors at no marginal cost.  One might therefore expect substantial free-riding 
opportunities, similar to those that have be observed with regard to the provision of 
other international public goods such as collective defence.  Unlike in the case of 
NATO burden-sharing where empirical evidence suggests Olson and Zeckhauser 
(1966) that larger countries have been exploited by small countries, no similar picture 
emerges when analysing the refugee reception burden.  In fact, the evidence presented 
in Table 1 suggests that in the case of the reception of refugees by OECD countries, it 
is the smaller states which appear to shoulder disproportionate burdens. 


Willingness to Accept Burdens

Another way in which to try to explain the unequal distribution of refugee burdens is 
to analyse (1) specific state interests or (2) countries' normative preferences in this 
area.

Excludable benefits
Economists have developed a refined version of Olson's public goods approach, one 
that is based on the so-called 'joint product' model (Sandler and Forbes 1980; Sandler 
1992).   This model suggests that what might appear as a pure public good often 
brings in fact excludable (private) benefits to a country.  

From this 'joint-product model', however, we would expect that a country's 
contributions to the provision of a particular collective good (which has both public 
and private characteristics) will be positively related to the proportion of excludable 
benefits accruing to that country.  It seems reasonable to assume that one country's 
efforts in the area of refugee protection will have some positive spill over effects to 
other countries in the region.  However, refugee protection arguably, provides a 
spectrum of outputs ranging from purely public to private or country-specific outputs. 
This means that refugee protection provides more than the single output of 'security' 
implied by the pure public goods model: it also provides country specific benefits 
such as status enhancement or the achievement of ideological goals (such as when 
West during the cold war was keen to accept political refugees from behind the Iron 
Curtain).  Moreover, we can also expect relatively more benefits from refugee 
protection measures accruing to countries closer to a refugee generating conflict.   In 
other words what is often regarded as a public good has in fact excludable (private) 
benefits to a country.  The 'joint product model' suggests that a country's 
contributions to the provision of refugee protection (with its public and private 
characteristics) will be positively related to the proportion of excludable benefits 
accruing to that country.  


Norm-based commitment
From a norm-based perspective, patterns of burden-sharing can be explained in two 
ways.  First, burden-sharing bargains can be guided by notions of equity, basing the 
distribution of burdens on some key that is linked to the actual capacity of the 
different participants of the burden-sharing regime.  A second way of explaining 
patterns from a norm-based perspective is to look at variations of the participating 
states commitment to norms that are related to the burden to be shared.  From this 
perspective the burden that a state is prepared to accept will be linked to the strengths 
of a state's preferences on safeguarding certain norms (such as general human rights 
standards or norms of distributive justice).

It has been shown that states' willingness to shoulder protection burdens are 
positively correlated with their relative commitment to the norm of solidarity with 
people in need and that countries which accept a disproportionate number of 
protection seekers are also the ones with a strong commitment to domestic 
redistribution (extensive welfare states) and above average foreign aid contributions 
(Thielemann 2003a).  A state's greater willingness to accept burdens (for whatever of 
the above reasons) often means that it will adopt a relatively lenient policy regime 
(more access, more attractive reception/integration package).  However, there are 
reasons to expect that structural determinants are more important than policy-related 
factors for attempts to explain the relative distribution of asylum burdens among 
OECD countries.


Structural Pull Factors

Under the current international refugee protection regime, states of first asylum are 
obliged to determine the status of asylum seekers, i.e. assess whether they qualify as 
refugees under the 1951 Geneva Convention.  Differences in structural pull factors 
(i.e. non policy-related factors that make some host countries more attractive than 
others) have a  very strong effect on the relative distribution of asylum seekers.   
Table 2 ranks Western European countries according to their average number of 
asylum applications per thousand of population.  It then also ranks the same countries 
with regard to six indicators that stand for potential determinants or pull factors for an 
asylum seeker's choice of preferred host country. The correlation coefficient in the 
bottom row of Table 2, gives an indication as to how closely each of the six indicators 
(explanatory variables) listed correlates with countries' relative asylum burden (in 
column 1).   

[Insert Table 2 about here]

The first two indicators are economic in nature.  Economic migration models (Ranis 
and Fei, 1961; Harris and Todaro 1970, Todaro 1969) explain the decision to migrate 
as one of income maximisation in which wealth differentials and differences in 
employment opportunities constitute important pull factors. International migration is 
expected to be determined by geographic differences in the supply and demand of 
labour. On this account, it is wage differentials and employment opportunities which 
explain movements from low-wage countries to high-wage countries.  In Table 2, we 
find that the relative number of asylum applications is very highly and positively 
correlated with countries' prosperity ranking and one finds a negative and still quite 
strong correlation with countries unemployment rates.  In other words, this suggests 
that countries which are relatively rich and possess relatively favourable labour 
market opportunities tend to receive relatively high numbers of asylum applications.  
The third indicator relates to historical ties (colonial links, language ties, cultural 
networks, etc.) between countries of origin and destination that often have lead to 
transport, trade and communication links between such countries.  Links which have 
tended to facilitate movements of people from one country to the other (Massey et al., 
1993: 445-7). One possible way to study the strength of such ties is to estimate the 
number of current or former citizens of a particular country of origin, who are resident 
in different countries of destination. Drawing on this, Table 2 shows that high asylum 
burdens correlate strongly (and positively) with historical links between countries of 
origin and countries of destination.  Host countries in which one already finds a large 
number of people originating from countries from which large numbers of tend to 
come from, are likely to be countries confronted with relatively high asylum burdens.  

The fourth indicator is more political in nature, and seeks to capture the reputation 
that a particular country of destination enjoys abroad and in particular in the 
developing world from which the large majority of asylum seekers originate from.  
Asylum seekers can be expected to be concerned about personal security and the 
difficulties they might face regarding their acceptance into a new host society.  Here, 
we try to capture the reputation of a country in terms of its 'liberal credentials' and 
concern for foreigners by analysing countries' track records in the area of overseas 
development aid. The assumption is that countries which spend relatively more of 
their GDP on aid to the Third World will tend to have a more liberal reputation.  
Table 2 finds quite a strong and positive correlation between relative asylum burdens 
and host countries' reputation measured in this way. Host countries which spend a 
relatively high proportion of their GDP on overseas development aid tend to attract a 
relatively high share of asylum applications.

Fifth, although perhaps less than some years ago as a result of technological 
advancements, geographic distance between countries of origin and destination can 
still be regarded as an important proxy for the cost of movement between countries.  
With regard to the role of geographical factors, we find a negative, albeit weaker, 
correlation between relative asylum burdens and the average distance between 
countries of destination and the five most important countries of origin in any 
particular year.  In other words, those countries which are more closely situated in 
geographic terms to important countries of origin, are the ones more likely to 
encounter a disproportionate share of asylum applications.

Finally one finds quite a weak positive correlation between relative asylum burdens 
and policy related deterrence measures.  Despite quite substantial variation in 
countries' average deterrence index for the time period under investigation, we find 
little evidence for the claim that countries with stricter asylum regimes are the ones 
which find themselves with relatively smaller burdens in comparison to those which 
(on average) have operated more lenient regimes.   On the contrary, we find that 
some of the countries (such as Germany, Switzerland and Austria), despite having put 
in place some of the most restrictive asylum policy regimes, nonetheless are among 
the most popular destinations for asylum applicants.  Structural, not policy-related, 
pull factors therefore appear to constitute the most critical factors in explaining the 
unequal distribution of refugee burdens.  


What factors are driving burden-sharing initiatives?

Why would states agree to burden-sharing?  What objectives do states pursue with 
such initiatives?  How do states' interests differ when it comes to the negotiations on 
such initiatives?  While it is unsurprising that the likely winners from a redistributive 
mechanism would be in favour of such a system, it less clear why the potential losers 
would support it.  Schuck puts it like this: 'Under the existing regime, after all, states 
that are not states or origin or of first asylum are entirely free to join in, or refrain 
from, refugee protection efforts, as their interests dictate.  Why then would they 
choose to surrender that freedom of action and accept a burden-sharing obligation that 
is likely to be costly, risk domestic political tensions, and probably ratchet upwards 
over time.' (Schuck 1997: 249).  Unlike processes of market integration in the EU 
context, which have often been portrayed as being positive-sum (or 'win-win') in 
nature, redistributive burden-sharing agreements will tend to create winners and 
losers. So, why would the losers agree? A number of suggestions based on both norm-
based and interest (cost)-based motivations have been made.


Norm-based motivations

In the following two norm-based motives will be distinguished.  The first one 
emphasises solidarity among countries in an emerging political community.  The 
other one underlines countries' commitment to the protection of some of the world's 
most vulnerable people.

Solidarity with other countries
Solidarity can be understood as a concern for other members of a group, which may 
be expressed by an unwillingness to receive a benefit unless the others do, or an 
unwillingness to receive a benefit when this will harm them. This commitment to the 
well-being of others is sometimes conceived in terms of the recognition of special 
obligations between the members of a group, which exist in virtue of their being 
members of it. Solidarity therefore can be said to exist among a group of actors when 
they are committed to abide by the outcome of some process of collective decision-
making, or to promote the wellbeing of other members of the group, perhaps at 
significant cost to themselves.  Approaches that emphasize norm-guided behaviour 
and highlight notions of solidarity offer an explanation to the 'why share costs' 
question that offers a complementary or even alternative account to prominent cost–
benefit models.

In this context, it is important to note that the official text establishing the EU's 
burden-sharing instruments in this area put heavy emphasis on notions of solidarity 
and fairness.  In a recent Commission statement we find the following: 'A better 
balance between the efforts made by the Member States in the reception of refugees 
and displaced persons will be achieved by means of the principle of solidarity'.  The 
text of the European Refugee Fund (ERF) Decision is another of many examples. It 
states that the implementation of [the common policy on asylum] should be based on 
solidarity between member States and requires the existence of mechanisms intended 
to promote a balance in the efforts made by the Member States in receiving and 
bearing the consequences of receiving refugees and displaced persons' (para 2). It 
goes on to say that it is fair to allocate resources [from the ERF] proportionately to the 
burden on each Member State by reason of its efforts in receiving refugees and 
displaced persons (OJ L 252/12 of 6 October 2000 (para 11)). Another example is the 
EU's recent temporary protection directive which devotes an entire chapter to the 
issue of Community solidarity, outlining in detail how 'soft' solidarity mechanisms 
are to achieve an equitable distribution in the case of a 'mass influx'.12 While it is 
easy to dismiss these pledges as nonbinding and therefore inconsequential, there can 
be little doubt that since the start of the integration process, some of the EC's most 
prominent political leaders, from Schuman to Kohl—while clearly being committed 
to pursuing what they saw as their country's national interest—have viewed the 
integration process not merely in cost–benefit terms, seeing the Community not just 
as an economic venture but also as an emerging political community.  Also in support 
of the claim that references to solidarity might not be merely non-committal flowery 
statements can be seen in the fact that most, if not all, Member States have a long 
tradition of upholding constitutionally codified principles on the desirability of 
solidarity between regions within their state. The constitutions of all EU Member 
States contain provisions which foresee burden-sharing on the basis of some notion of 
solidarity between the different territorial entities and regions in cases of economic, 
financial or infrastructural imbalances.   Some lawyers have suggested that one 
should therefore regard solidarity as one of the Union's general principles of law as it 
constitutes an accepted norm in the domestic constitutions of the Member States 
(Schieffer 1998: 208–212). At least in part, such an interpretation appears to have 
been accepted by the European Court of Justice.   Nonetheless, on balance it appears 
that while reference to solidarity and fairness appears to have played a part in selling 
these initiatives as part of the process towards an 'ever closer union', the timing of the 
proposals, the hard bargaining that characterized the establishment of the ERF and the 
inability to agree on a distribution key in the case of temporary protection measures 
(in the case of mass influx) tell us to be cautious in over-interpreting the frequent 
pledges of Community solidarity made in this area.


Solidarity with refugees
That non-cooperation and burden-shifting between states in this area can lead to the 
under-provision of protection and hence increased human suffering is widely 
accepted.  The Executive Committee of the UNHCR Programme (ExCom) has 
elaborated several Conclusions, which either focus on, or draw attention to, the issue 
of burden-sharing. Amongst these, the ExCom Conclusion 22 (XXXII) of 1981 
relating to the Protection of Asylum Seekers in Situations of Large-Scale Influx, is 
particularly important.  It states: 'A mass influx may place unduly heavy burdens on 
certain countries, and a satisfactory solution could not be achieved without 
international cooperation.' In a similar vein, former High Commissioner for Refugees, 
Ruud Lubbers, frequently emphasised that in his view the lack of a system to share 
responsibility will leave particular EU states overburdened: 'I fear that high protection 
standards will be difficult to maintain in a system which shifts responsibility to states 
located on the external border of the EU, many of which have limited asylum 
capacity.'   States might therefore accept an agreement on the basis of their 
commitment to human rights, despite the fact that the redistributive effects of a 
particular burden-sharing regime are not stacked in their favour.  

There appears to be at least some evidence that norm-guided behaviour has played a 
significant role in the relationship between recipient Member States and protections 
seekers which has had an indirect effect on the burden-distribution among the 
Member States (Thielemann 2003).  One finds evidence for the claim that a country's 
willingness to receive refugees is positively related to its more general commitment to 
norms such as distributive justice.  Using overseas development aid, recognition rates 
and domestic social spending as proxies for a states' commitment to such norms one 
finds evidence for the claim that the variation of Member States' norm-based 
commitment, for example, was positively correlated with their relative willingness to 
accept Kosovo refugees under the Kosovo Humanitarian Evacuation Programme 
(HEP).   This correlation in relation to domestic social protection expenditure and is 
very strong and statistically significant with regard to Member States' foreign aid 
payments and refugee recognition rates.   In sum, it was suggested that looking at 
countries' commitment to certain distributive and humanitarian norms can help to 
explain the willingness of states to accept a burden-sharing regime from which they 
appear to loose out, as these states would have accepted higher (than necessary) costs 
even in the absence of such a regime.


Interest-based motivations

Even if norms are likely to play some role one can expect interest-based motivations 
to be paramount for most (if not all) states.  Three principal interest-based motivations 
to cooperate on refugee burden-sharing initiatives will be discussed in the following: 
(1) insurance again mass inflows, (2) adhering to international obligations and (3) 
efficiency in achieving protection.  


Insurance Against Mass Inflows
One  potential motive for burden-sharing based on cost–benefit considerations, is the 
insurance rationale.  A suitable burden-sharing regime can provide a degree of mutual 
insurance against the occurrence of a particular external shock that might put 
pressures on certain countries. Burden-sharing schemes allow states to set off today's 
contributions against the expected reduced costs in a future crisis.  On the basis of an 
insurance rationale, it might make sense for states to accept losses in the short term in 
order to insure themselves against the possibility of being faced with even higher 
costs at some point in the future.  Schuck writes that states 'might be attracted to 
burden-sharing for the same reason that many individuals are attracted to catastrophic 
health insurance: States may rationally prefer to incur a small and predictable 
protection burden now in order to avoid bearding large, sudden, unpredictable, 
unwanted, and unstoppable refugee inflows in the future. […] As the worlds grows 
smaller and more interconnected, and as an increasing number of refugees can more 
easily reach more place and claim protection there, such "refugee crisis insurance" 
might well be a "good buy"—perhaps even for relatively insular states.' (Schuck 
1997: 249)  From a cost–benefit perspective, however, such a scheme can only be 
expected to include those who have a similar perception of risks that are worth 
sharing and such a scheme will only be agreed upon when contributions reflect the 
differences in the relative risk perception of each participant.


Adhering to International Obligations
Burden-sharing initiatives might also be motivated by a perceived threat to member 
States higher order objectives such as their interest in the continuation of the 
European integration project or the system of international refugee protection as such.  
In the absence of a common European approach on refugee burden-sharing, migration 
pressures from third countries might not only pose a threat to the Single Market (and 
in particular the achievement of the principle of free movement within it),  but such 
uncoordinated action might also lead to a competitive race to the bottom in protection 
standards among Member States (concerned about being perceived as a 'soft touch'), 
and consequently to an unraveling of basic international human rights norms.  
Ultimately, such a 'race to the bottom' could lead to states adopting deterrence 
measures that could be considered as breaches of their obligations under international 
law, something that most Western states would want to avoid.  Arguably, burden-
sharing initiatives can help to break this cycle of 'tit for tat' increases in deterrence 
measures and safeguard that states will adhere to their obligations under European and 
international law.


Efficiency in Achieving Protection (or other) Objectives
One of the principal objectives to any attempt to cooperate in the area of refugee 
protection appears to be to achieve particular objectives (related to protection or other 
state interests) at lower costs.  There has been widespread concern among countries in 
recent years about the costliness and inefficiencies of existing arrangements  where 
refugee burdens are above all a result of structural factors over which countries have 
little control.  Western States in particular have been concerned to improve 'the 
judicial and administrative efficiency of asylum processing' (Gibney and Hansen 
2005: 80-1).  Similar concerns have been raised by the UNHCR: 

'There has been some debate in recent years about what constitutes 'fairness' and 
'efficiency' in procedures, against the backdrop of mixed migratory movements, 
smuggling and trafficking of people and a degree of misuse of the asylum process for 
migratory outcomes.  States have legitimate concerns as regards procedures that are 
unwieldy, too costly, not necessarily able to respond effectively to misuse, and result 
in the unequal distribution of responsibilities'.   

Reducing costs through burden-sharing appears a viable avenue for those with above 
average burdens  (or those who can successfully negotiate sufficient side-payments 
in other issue areas that can make it worth their while to accept an increase in their 
refugee-related costs).  Moreover, some burden-sharing initiatives will be motivated 
by the prospect of efficiency gains through burden-sharing initiatives (such as joint 
processing), the provision of more effective deterrence of non-genuine asylum-
seekers, the reduction of asylum-shopping (secondary applications), etc.  Related, but 
perhaps even more important, can be the motive of reducing negative externalities 
that are prevalent in the existing system.  A frequently used concept in environmental 
economics, the concept of externalities in the refugee context suggests that the failure 
of a given states to internalize the full costs of their restrictive asylum and refugee 
polices will impose costs on other countries.  In the public perception, the concept has 
often been associated with the idea of burden-shifting that has informed the debates 
surrounding the controversies of the Sangatte refugee camp or the use of deterrence 
measures such as introduction of 'safe third country' provisions.  Finally, the idea of 
variations in countries' reception capacities and the associated suggestion that some 
states might find it easier to contribute to refugee protection in ways other than by 
accepting refugees into their territory, has led to the development of refugee burden-
sharing models that consider the possibility of trade between countries according to 
their comparative advantage in refugee protection contributions.    By allowing states 
to contribute to regional/international refugee protection in ways that they find least 
difficult, some have suggested that states might be able to provide more protection at 
much reduced costs.  Given that states' interests vary, countries are likely to favour 
different types of burden-sharing regimes.  The most important ones of those—and 
their respective strengths and weaknesses—will be discussed below.


What kind of burden-sharing regime?

In the following we try to identify three principal options for refugee burden-sharing 
systems in the EU: (1) policy harmonisation, (2) quotas and (3) a system based on 
market mechanisms.


Policy Harmonisation

A first possible approach to achieve a more equitable distribution of burdens in this 
area is to take a common policy approach through the harmonizing of domestic 
refugee legislation.  The former High Commissioner for Refugees put it like this: "For 
European governments to manage rather than simply react to the asylum challenge, 
they need to share, not shift burdens, and to harmonise not only their laws but also 
their practice".   The EU has since the mid 1980s worked towards the convergence of 
Member States' laws on forced migration. What started with initially non-binding 
intergovernmental instruments has since then been followed by developments in 
Community law. Important stepping stones were the 1995 Resolution on Minimum 
Guarantees for Asylum Procedures (Council Resolution of 20 June 1995, OJ C 274), 
the 1999 Amsterdam Treaty establishing a Common European Asylum System (for an 
overview see Guild and Harlow 2001), the 2002 political agreement at the Brussels 
JHA Council regarding a common definition for persons eligible for refugee and 
subsidiary protection status and the 2003 directive on common reception conditions 
(OJ L/2003/31/18) [UPDATE???]. Some have suggested that some of these steps 
have already contributed to a  limited convergence of Member States' refugee burdens 
since the early 1980s (Vink and Meijerink 2003). The significance of these initiatives 
notwithstanding, policy harmonization can of course only address imbalances which 
are due to differences in domestic legislation in the first place. As discussed above, 
policy differences are only one of several determinants for a protection seeker's 
choice of host country, with structural factors such as historic networks, employment 
opportunities, geography or a host country's reputation being at least equally, if not 
more, important (Thielemann 2003). 


Hard Quotas

Sharing Money
Given that the process of tackling disparities in refugee burdens through policy 
harmonization is slow and is likely to remain limited in its effect due to the existence 
of structural pull factors, other (complementary) strategies need to be explored.  One 
other way is to address disparities retrospectively, through the payment of financial 
compensation to the most popular destination countries. At the global level, countries' 
voluntary contributions to UNHCR to help the organization run assistance 
programmes in those refugee hosting countries that face disproportionate burdens, can 
be regarded as one, albeit limited, form of such financial burden-sharing arrangements 
(Acharya and Dewitt 1997; Betts 2003). As most of these contributions constitute 
'tied aid', i.e. have strings attached to them as to how they can be spent, it is of course 
clear that the motivation behind these payments can be quite complex. In the EU, 
explicit fiscal burden-sharing has been taking place since the establishment of the 
European Refugee Fund (ERF). 

With its Decision of 28 September 2000, the Council established the European 
Refugee Fund (ERF) (OJ L 252/12 of 6 October 2000). Created on the basis of Article 
63(2)(b) of the Treaty establishing the European Community, the ERF is to allocate 
resources proportionately to the burden on each Member State by reason of their 
efforts in receiving refugees and displaced persons. Its rationale is 'to demonstrate 
solidarity between Member States by achieving a balance in the efforts made by those 
Member States in receiving refugees and displaced persons and bearing the 
consequences of so doing' (para 21).  The ERF has operated since 1 January 2000 and 
aimed to disburse a total of Euro 216 million according to two elements, a fixed and a 
proportional one.  First, the Fund will disburse an equal flat rate amount to each 
participating Member State  irrespective of the number of displaced persons in its 
territory.  The remaining resources were distributed in proportion to the number of 
displaced persons in each Member State.

In the following the question about the Fund's effectiveness will be addressed in three 
parts, focusing on its fixed element, its proportional mechanism and its overall effect.  
While the fixed element, is likely to have played an important role in getting overall 
agreement on the principle of the Fund (as very Member State did receive something 
from the Fund), it has been ineffective regarding the Fund's 'balance of effort' 
objective.  If each Member State receives the same amount from this fixed element of 
the Fund, no progress in terms of burden-sharing will be made.  This appears to have 
been recognised as the Decision establishing the fund prescribes a scaling down of 
this element over the Fund's five year period.  It is often argued that in terms of the 
Fund's solidarity objective, the fixed element has played an important role, as it has 
supported Member States with less developed protection systems irrespective of the 
number of displaced persons they received.  However, it of course has also supported 
Member States with well developed asylum systems and small numbers of protection 
seekers in equal measure.  It hard to argue therefore that the Fund's fixed element is 
an effective expression of Community solidarity.  If the objective of the Fund is to 
help particular Member States to develop their asylum institutions, then there must be 
better ways of doing this than by giving each Member State the same amount.

Regarding the Fund's proportional element, it can be argued that although having 
performed better, the solidaristic and redistributive effect achieved here remains very 
much sub-optimal.  Currently that part of the Fund is distributed on the basis of the 
absolute number of displaced persons received in a Member State.  This means that a 
particular number of protection seekers triggers the same amount of money under this 
category irrespective of the receiving country concerned.  This has led to the result 
that countries with large absolute numbers have benefited disproportionately, despite 
the fact that relative to their population or size of GDP, or any other absorption 
capacity measure one might choose, other countries with much greater relative 
burdens or responsibilities have benefited less.  The underlying assumption appears to 
be that a particular number of protection seekers received, require the same amount of 
effort, no matter whether the receiving state is small or large, rich or poor, etc.  This is 
clearly not the case, as a certain number of protection seekers received will require 
greater efforts by a small country than a large one.  In other words, the Fund's 
redistributive element currently compensates Member States according to the absolute 
numbers of protection seekers received rather than according to the relative 
responsibilities or burdens that Member States are faced with.  From a solidarity or 
burden-sharing perspective this appears sub-optimal (see Table 3 below).

[Insert Table 3 about here]

Finally, even if the Fund was distributing its resources in an optimal manner, its 
overall impact would still be rather limited, given its relatively small size.  According 
to UK home office estimates, Britain spent just under 30,000 Euro per asylum seeker 
in 2002, if one includes administrative costs, legal bills, accommodation and 
subsistence.  According to figures from the Fund's mid-term review, the UK was the 
second largest recipient of the Fund in 2002, and received just over 100 Euro ERF 
money per asylum application received that year.  It therefore seems that the overall 
effect of the ERF up to now has been more important in symbolic terms, then it has 
been in terms of its substantive effect in promoting a balance of efforts between the 
Member States.  Even with the recently agreed tripling of the Fund for the 2005-2010 
funding period, revenues from the ERF are highly unlikely to influence member 
States' decisions as to the way they contribute to refugee protection.  Financial 
burden-sharing instruments on their own will not be regarded as sufficient, in 
particular because, as mentioned above, it is above all the non-financial costs 
associated with refugees that countries often find problematic.

Sharing People
A second type of quota-based burden-sharing proposal, and one that has received 
considerable attention in recent years, is based on the idea of a physical sharing of 
people between European states on the basis of a fixed distribution key that tries to 
take account of countries' relative protective capacities.  Schuck, for example, 
mentions several possible criteria on which such a key could be based, such as: 
national wealth, assimilative capacity, or population density, or the possibility of 
devising a multi-factor distribution key (Schuck 1997: 279-81).  The first explicit 
references to such burden-sharing ambitions were made by EU ministers responsible 
for asylum and immigration at their meeting of 30 November and 1 December 1992 
(not published in the Official Journal of the European Union (OJ) but reprinted in 
UNHCR 1995). These deliberations led to a German Presidency Draft Council 
Resolution on Burden-sharing in July 1994 (Council Document 7773/94 ASIM 124). 
This proposal foresaw the reception of refugees according to a key which was based 
on three criteria which were given equal weight (population size, size of Member 
State territory and GDP).   The centrepiece of the German draft foresaw the 
introduction of a compulsory resettlement mechanism.  The text of the proposal 
stated: 'Where the numbers admitted by a Member State exceed its indicative figure [   
], other Member States which have not yet reached their indicative figure [   ] will 
accept persons from the first State.' Perhaps unsurprisingly, however, this proposal 
did not find the necessary support in the Council.  In particular, the UK, which had 
received relatively few asylum seekers until that point, was strongly opposed to such a 
scheme (BMI 1994; Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung 27 January 1995: 2; BT-Drs. 13/ 
1070, 55; Integrationsbericht, p.92). Some Council members also expressed the 
concern that this proposed 'physical' burden-sharing regime, which would have 
allowed the transfer of refugees without their consent, might violate established 
human rights.

Although ultimately, the redistribution of protection seekers from one host territory to 
another on the basis of some measure of reception capacity, might be the most 
effective way to address disparities in refugee burdens, it is also the most 
controversial one. Advocates of such policies argue that this is the only way to 
effectively equalize the costs incurred by host territories, as such measures capture not 
only costs linked to reception and determination but also those less quantifiable costs 
related to the integration of protection seekers. Opponents emphasize the risks to both 
the individual (related to a secondary uprooting) and to the new host territories, which 
might lack the social support networks of the protection seekers' initial destination 
and which could even lead to higher total costs for the countries operating such a 
scheme.


Market Mechanisms

A third category of burden-sharing regimes are those that rely on market mechanisms 
to achieve a spreading of responsibilities in this area.  Three types of market-based 
approaches will be discussed in turn: (1) resettlement/dispersal, (2) (explicit) trade in 
protection quotas and (3) a more comprehensive (implicit) trading mechanism for 
protection contributions.  

Resettlement/Dispersal
One established model of non-quota based burden-sharing is the idea of 'voluntary 
pledging' which has been the mechanism underlying refugee resettlement.  
Resettlement was first comprehensively used during the Indo-Chinese refugee crisis 
of the late 1970s and is based on the idea of voluntary offers by states to accept 
refugees into their territory.  Some Western states have accepted significant numbers 
of refugees through this route (see Table 4).  

[Insert Table 4 about here]

A recent EU initiative which is based on a similar mechanism is the 2001 Council 
Directive on Temporary Protection in the Case of Mass Influx (Council Directive 
2001/55/EC of 20 July 2001, OJ L 212, 7 August 2001).  The directive develops a 
range of non-binding mechanisms based on the principle of 'double voluntarism': the 
agreement of both the recipient state and the individual protection seeker is required 
before protection seekers can be moved from one country to another.  Under this 
instrument, Member States are expected, in spirit of 'European solidarity', to indicate 
their reception capacity and to justify their offers.  These pledges are to be made in 
public, allowing for mechanisms of peer pressure or 'naming and shaming'.  The 
directive has not yet been used and therefore the effectiveness of this new instrument 
of 'soft' co-ordination still remains to be tested in practice.

One finds more established systems for refugee resettlement in the dispersal regimes 
operated inside in many states (in particular traditionally centralized ones).  The UK 
dispersal scheme is a prominent example (Boswell 2003; Berliner Institut 2001, NAO 
2000).  Given large inflows of refugees that were increasing the pressure on already 
scarce accommodation in London and the South East of England led the UK 
government to introduce a voluntary dispersal scheme for asylum seekers in 1998, 
followed by a more comprehensive scheme was subsequently incorporated into the 
government's 1999 Immigration and Asylum Act.  Under this scheme, asylum seekers 
will be dispersed to 'cluster areas' outside London and the South East, in which there 
is a sufficient supply of suitable accommodation.   The Act contains provisions for 
the reimbursement of participating local authorities for any additional costs incurred 
in accommodating and supporting asylum seekers (Boswell 2003).  Under the initial 
scheme dispersal took place at the expense of the local authorities in the South East 
and London which agreed to compensate local authorities n the North.  As the 
financial burden for London and the South East increased, the Home Office 
introduced the National Asylum Support System (NASS) with the 1999 Act which 
along with accommodation, provides financial support.  Thus, the UK national 
government pays volunteering local authorities for the costs of the asylum and 
dispersal system.

Could this kind of dispersal system be transferred to the international level?  Would 
states be prepared to pay money to other states in exchange for a relief in their refugee 
protection burden?  It has been argued that states have already been doing so.  There 
are examples where  in the past some states have paid other states to protect refugees, 
with wealthy states giving money to countries neighbouring Rwanda during the recent 
refugee crisis there (Schuck 1997:243-4) and Australia paying Nauru for processing 
asylum seekers that the Australian Navy prevents from reaching Australian territory.  
Recent proposals on extra-territorial processing in Europe would in part also fall into 
this category (Noll 2004, Betts 2004, reference???).

The disadvantages of a centrally administered international refugee protection fund 
which would be financed by state contributions and dispersed according to states' 
offers to receive refugees, according to Schuck (1997), entails at least two 
disadvantages.  First, 'it would restrict the acceptable currency of trade to cash, 
thereby limiting the number and flexibility of possible transactions'.  Second, 'a 
centralized system would be more complex and involve higher transaction costs.' 
(Schuck 1997: 284).  This is why Schuck has argued for a more decentralized market-
based burden-sharing system based on a more explicit trading mechanism.  


Explicit Trading
The model proposed by Schuck is made up of two components (Schuck 1997: 282-
88).  The first is based on a traditional quota system.  An international agency would 
assign to each participating state a refugee protection quota (according to some agreed 
criteria of reception capacity).  A state's quota would make it responsible for a certain 
number of refugees.  The second element is the model's trading component.  Under it, 
the participating states would be permitted to trade their quota by paying others to 
fulfill their obligations.  Once a states receives its quota, it must decide whether it will 
discharge it by offering protection to refugees on its own territory (either temporary 
safe haven or permanent resettlement), or whether to transfer part or all of its quota 
obligation to one or several other state(s) in a voluntary public transaction.  The 
payment could take the form of cash or any other resources that the transferee values 
(e.g. credit, commodities, development assistance or political support).   '[Under the 
trading system] the transferor can only induce the transferee to accept the transferor's 
obligation by paying the transferee enough to compensate it for the additional burden 
of accepting the transferor's quota' (Schuck 1997: 284). 

Schuck emphasises that states are motivated largely by what they regard as their 
national self-interest and that they differ significantly in both the attitudes and the 
resources that they bring to refugee policy.  Taking Japan as an example, he suggests 
that any regional or global quota system would assign it a large quota on the basis of 
it wealth.  'With a remarkably homogeneous population and no tradition of refugee 
protection, immigration , or assimilation of foreigners, Japan would presumably be 
eager to purchase a discharge of its large protection obligation from another country 
[…] at a high price, reflecting both its high cost of living and its determination to 
maintain its ethnic homogeneity' (Schuck 1997: 284).  This is why Schuck regards 
interstate heterogeneity as to their attitudes towards refuges and their resources for 
dealing with them, as a potential policy virtue.  Trading mechanisms 'can encourage 
states to exploit their heterogeneity through exchanges that serve both their self-
interest and the public interest in refugee protection.  A properly regulated market in 
refugee protection quotas promises to accomplish both these ends' (Schuck 1997: 
283).  By facilitating voluntary trades, Schuck therefore expects his proposed scheme 
to reduce the overall cost of the refugee protection system.

Several objections have been made against this scheme which above all relate to the 
scheme's workability, concern about protection safeguards and the unease about 
treating refugees as commodities in inter-state transactions (Schuck 1997: 289-297; 
Anker, Fitzpatrick and Schacknove 1998).  A more general criticism of the Schuck 
model (and one which applies also to the other models discussed above) is its narrow 
focus on only one aspect of states' contributions to refugee protection.  It is this 
particular criticism that the final burden-sharing model that will be discussed here 
seeks to address.


Comprehensive (Implicit) Trading 
An alternative 'trade based' model (Boyer 1989) suggests that countries are expected 
to specialise according to their comparative advantage as to the type and level of 
contribution they make to international collective goods.  Applied to the area of 
forced migration (Thielemann and Dewan forthcoming), it has been suggested that 
countries can contribute to refugee protection in two principal ways: proactively, 
through peace-keeping/making and reactively, by providing protection for displaced 
persons.  In line with the theoretical predictions found in the public goods literature 
which predict the 'exploitation of the big by the small' (Olson and Zeckhauser 
1966),  one first that it is the larger the larger countries which bear a 
disproportionably large share of the peacekeeping burden (Shimizu and Sandler 
2002).  No similar exploitation, however, exists with regard to refugee burdens.  If 
anything, it is the smaller countries which bear a disproportionately large share of 
responsibilities when it comes to receiving refugees (see Figure 1).

[Insert Figure 1 about here]

With some countries making disproportionate contributions in 'pro-active' refugee 
protection contributions (through peace-keeping) and other countries contributing in a 
disproportionate way with 'reactive' measures related to refugee reception, there 
appears to be some support for the Boyer (1989) trading model.  Moreover, such 
apparent specialisation in countries' contributions has potentially important 
implications for attempts to develop multi-lateral burden-sharing initiatives that are 
perceived to advance states' interests in providing for more equitable, efficient and 
effective refugee protection.  First, evidence of inter-country specialisation also 
suggests that refugee provision is perhaps not as inequitable as often assumed by 
those who examine countries' willingness to accept displaced persons on its own.  
Second, it is possible that burden-sharing initiatives that attempt to force all nations to 
increase contributions in a particular category of provision are likely to be 
counterproductive for the efficient provision of collective goods such as refugee 
protection.  It can then be argued that the provision of this collective good is closer to 
optimality when countries are able to specialize with regard to their contributions.  
The existence of country-specific benefits from refugee protection combined with 
tendencies for specialisation in states' contributions can both help to raise the 
efficiency of refugee protection efforts.  When just looking at reactive protection 
contributions (as most burden-sharing models do), it is tempting to suggest that some 
(larger) countries should be contributing more in this area.  Equalizing reactive 
contributions also appears to be the general thrust of recent European policy 
initiatives.  However, any attempt to impose quotas and suchlike should be seen as a 
hindrance toward greater specialisation and trade, with adverse overall effects.  
Burden-sharing initiatives, if they are to strengthen refugee protection, need to be 
aware of variations in states' preferences in this area and need to recognise 
comparative advantages possessed by individual states in this area.  If they do not, 
they risk to undermine the search for more effective refugee protection efforts. 


Conclusion

It has been shown that the distribution of refugee burdens in Europe is highly unequal, 
even when different reception capacities of countries are taken into account and it has 
been argued that this distribution is largely due to structural factors beyond states' 
control.  It has also been argued that given the likely adverse consequences from 'a 
race to the bottom' by states trying to avoid disproportionate burdens, the 
development of an effective European (or even more far-reaching) burden-sharing 
regime appears to be in the interest of both refugees and countries of destination.  The 
establishment of such a regime does not have rely on appeals to solidarity but can be 
promoted by appealing to clear (albeit varying) benefits that can accrue to states in 
terms of increased security, lower costs, ensured adherence to international 
obligations, etc.  

Finally, the discussion above makes the case for a more a comprehensive burden-
sharing approach.  It has been argued that policy harmonisation and quota-based 
burden-sharing regimes on their own are unlikely to provide satisfactory results.  By 
outlining a number of market-based approaches, the paper hopes to stimulate the 
search for more effective burden-sharing solutions.  Any proposal for a refugee 
burden-sharing regime can expected to be controversial but it seems that the EU 
provides a quite unique opportunity to further explore the potential benefits of market-
based burden-sharing in conjunction with ongoing efforts of policy harmonisation 
which can help to safeguard compliance with established human rights standards.  
Whereas past proposals for international burden-sharing regimes have sometime been 
rightly criticised for undermining individual rights and for shifting burdens to the 
South, this paper suggests that the establishment of regional burden-sharing regimes, 
like the one discussed here for the EU, can bring substantial benefits with fewer 
shortcomings, while also being politically more feasible.  Given the deplorable 
developments of recent years that have led to the current refugee dilemmas, the need 
to further explore new options to build a more equitable, efficient and effective 
international refugee burden-sharing regime appears to be more urgent than ever. 


Annex: Tables and Figures


Table 1: Average Accepted Protection Burden (1994-2002)


 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8




(1)/(3)*1000


(4)*(6)
(5)+(7)
Country
Average 
annual 
number of 
asylum 
applications*
Average 
resettlement 
arrivals
Average 
population 
size 
(thousands)
Average 
Number of 
Asylum 
Applications 
(per 1000 of 
population)
Average 
Number of 
resettlement 
arrivals (per 
1000 of 
population)
Average 
Recognition 
Rate (in 
percent)**
Average 
Accepted 
Protection 
Burden 
(spontaneous 
arrivals)
Average 
Accepted 
Protection 
Burden 
(spontaneous 
arrivals & 
resettlement)
Netherlands
35345
308
15735
2.2
0.020
62.7
1.379
1.399
Switzerland
25208
 
7131
3.5
0.000
39.3
1.376
1.376
Denmark
8312
1034
5297
1.6
0.195
61.6
0.986
1.181
Sweden
15556
1945
8855
1.8
0.220
45.1
0.812
1.031
Norway
7836
1494
4435
1.8
0.337
35
0.630
0.967
Canada
29755
10898
30214
1
0.361
59.8
0.598
0.959
Belgium
21532
 
10212
2.1
0.000
32.3
0.678
0.678
Australia
9086
10222
18740
0.5
0.545
18.1
0.091
0.636
United States
75484
76243
272181
0.3
0.280
29.7
0.089
0.369
United 
Kingdom
61077
39
59040
1
0.001
36.1
0.361
0.362
Germany
100844
 
82002
1.2
0.000
15.7
0.188
0.188
France
30595
 
58481
0.5
0.000
18.4
0.092
0.092
Italy
9223
 
57029
0.2
0.000
24.6
0.049
0.049
Spain
7352
 
39669
0.2
0.000
24
0.048
0.048
Japan
187
162
126383
0
0.001
13.5
0.000
0.001

* Figures generally refer to the number of persons who applied for asylum. The figures used here are 
generally first instance ("new") applications only.  Source: Governments, UNHCR. Compiled by 
UNHCR (Population Data Unit). See also: http://www.unhcr.ch (Statistics).
** Total recognition rates in industrialised countries (first instance).  Includes persons recognized 
(under Geneva Convention) and those 'allowed to remain' (on the basis of subsidiary protection) 
divided by the total of recognized, allowed to remain and rejected.  Source: UNHCR Statistical 
Yearbooks.






Table 2: Determinants of Relative Asylum Burdens (Averages 1985-2000) 




Structural Determinants
Policy-Related 
Determinants




Economic
Historical
Political
Geographic
Deterrence-Policy


Relative Asylum 
Burden
GDP per Capita
Unemployment Rate
Foreign (Born) 
Population
ODA
Distance
Deterrence Index

1
CHE
3.3
LUX
0.033
ESP
19.5
AUT
60.9
NOR
1.02
PRT
4886
DEU
4.5
1
2
SWE
2.6
CHE
0.032
IRE
14.4
DEU
41.6
SWE
0.92
ESP
4461
CHE
4.0
2
3
DEU
2.0
NOR
0.028
BEL
12.1
DNK
29.6
DNK
0.86
IRE
4355
AUT
3.0
3
4
DNK
1.8
DNK
0.026
ITA
11.2
NLD
26.3
CHE
0.68
NOR
4224
PRT
2.9
4
5
AUT
1.7
SWE
0.025
FRA
10.6
CHE
21.8
DEU
0.51
GBR
4043
GRC
2.8
5
6
NLD
1.7
DEU
0.023
FIN
9.4
SWE
16.4
FIN
0.41
FRA
3918
FRA
2.5
6
7
BEL
1.6
FIN
0.022
DNK
9.0
NOR
9.7
AUT
0.40
BEL
3805
ITA
2.5
7
8
NOR
1.3
AUT
0.021
GRC
8.1
BEL
9.6
FRA
0.36
NLD
3783
ESP
2.2
8
9
LUX
0.9
FRA
0.021
GBR
7.9
FRA
7.4
LUX
0.36
LUX
3718
NLD
1.8
9
10
FRA
0.6
NLD
0.020
DEU
7.9
ITA
5.3
NLD
0.36
CHE
3642
LUX
1.6
10
11
GBR
0.5
BEL
0.020
NLD
7.0
FIN
3.9
BEL
0.34
FIN
3612
DNK
1.5
11
12
IRE
0.5
GBR
0.018
AUT
6.0
GBR
1.3
IRE
0.27
DNK
3502
IRE
1.5
12
13
GRC
0.3
ITA
0.018
PRT
5.9
GRC
 - 
ITA
0.26
SWE
3473
BEL
0.9
13
14
FIN
0.3
IRE
0.016
SWE
4.5
IRE
 - 
ESP
0.22
ITA
3409
NOR
0.9
14
15
ESP
0.2
ESP
0.012
NOR
4.1
LUX
 - 
GBR
0.21
DEU
3380
SWE
0.8
15
16
ITA
0.2
GRC
0.009
CHE
2.5
PRT
 - 
PRT
0.18
AUT
3166
GBR
0.8
16
17
PRT
0.0
PRT
0.008
LUX
2.2
ESP
 - 
GRC
0.14
GRC
2929
FIN
0.8
17
Correlation 
Coefficient

1.00
 
0.70
 
-0.52
 
0.63
 
0.43
 
-0.37
 
0.21


AUT: Austria; BEL: Belgium; CHE: Switzerland; DEU: Germany; DNK: Denmark; ESP: Spain; FIN: Finland; FRA: France; GBR: Great Britain; GRC: Greece; IRE: 
Ireland; ITA: Italy; LUX: Luxemburg; NLD: Netherlands; NOR: Norway; PRT: Portugal; SWE: Sweden.





Table 3: The Redistributive Impact of the European Refugee Fund





Table 4: Resettlement arrivals in industrialized countries, 1993-2002


Country of 
resettlement









 
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Total
Australia
13,557
15,412
11,100
7,816
12,558
8,398
7,330
6,659
9,172
92,002
Canada
10,100
11,101
10,937
10,369
9,645
9,779
13,518
12,245
10,389
98,083
Denmark
3,757
2,018
601
501
444
501
464
531
490
9,307
Finland
651
642
840
627
304
543
756
739
571
5,673
Iceland
-
8
-
17
23
75
24
23
-
170
Ireland
650
-
-
-
-
1,032
40
52
23
1,797
Japan
456
231
151
157
132
158
135
40
-
1,460
Netherlands
498
492
475
187
524
11
204
223
155
2,769
New Zealand
737
822
780
527
677
1,135
699
749
674
6,800
Norway
694
1,591
788
1,343
1,124
3,942
1,481
1,269
1,216
13,448
Sweden
7,431
1,956
1,629
1,180
1,130
546
1,501
1,089
1,042
17,504
United Kingdom
260
70
20
-
-
-
-
-
-
350
United States
112,981
99,974
74,791
69,276
76,181
85,076
72,143
68,925
26,839
686,186
Total
151,772
134,317
102,112
92,000
102,742
111,196
98,295
92,544
50,571
935,549





Figure 1: Average Accepted Protection Burden (by ascending GNP size), 1994-2002
 




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  "Refugee" here is used in its broadest connotation to characterize individuals who have left their 
country in the belief that cannot or should not return to it in the near future, although they might hope 
to do so if conditions permit.  In this usage, the category includes those recognised under the Geneva 
Convention but also those who have applied for refugee (or a subsidiary) protection status.
  Recent examples were the strained relations between Denmark and Sweden following the 
introduction of highly restrictive asylum measures by the new conservative government in Denmark 
and the controversy about the Sangatte refugee camp which soured relations between France and 
Britain.
  A commitment to international solidarity and burden-sharing in relation to refugees (at least 
rhetorically), has been present since the inception of UNHCR. Its documented origins are found in 
Paragraph 4 of the Preamble of the 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees, which 
expressly acknowledges that "the grant of asylum may place unduly heavy burdens on certain 
countries, and that a satisfactory solution of a problem of which the United Nations has recognized the 
international scope and nature cannot therefore be achieved without international cooperation."  There 
have also been a number of concrete examples of international refugee burden-sharing arrangements in 
the period after the end of World War II, during the 1970s with the 'Comprehensive Plan for Action' 
(boat people) and during the 1990s (Kosovo Evacuation Plan).
  The term 'burden-sharing' was first prominently used in the context of debates about NATO 
contributions in the early 1950s (Olsen and Zeckhauser 1966; Boyer 1989; Oneal 1990). The essence 
of these debates, which continue until today, has been about sharing defence costs among the members 
of the North Atlantic alliance (that is, getting the Europeans to pay more). The adoption of this 
terminology in the context of forced migration is of course not unproblematic. However, despite its 
potentially prejudicial connotation in a human rights context in which one might wish the language of 
costs and benefits to be absent, the term 'burden-sharing' is used here to reflect the way the debate 
about the perceived and real inequalities in the distribution of displaced persons and refugees has been 
conducted in Europe over recent years. Attempts to replace the term in this area with a call for 
responsibility sharing or the 'equal balance of efforts' between the Member States have had little 
impact on the way the public debate has been led.
  Brussels European Council, 4/5 November 2004, Presidency Conclusions, page 18.
  Official Documents Burden-Sharing - Discussion Paper Submitted By UNHCR Fifth Annual Plenary 
Meeting Of The APC; ISIL Year Book of International Humanitarian and Refugee Law, Vol. 17 
(2001)]; URL: http://www.worldlii.org/int/journals/ISILYBIHRL/2001/17.html
  United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, Mr. Ruud Lubbers, Talking Points for the Informal 
Justice and Home Affairs Council (Luxembourg, 29 January 2005)
  This paper will focus on intra EU burden-sharing which it sees as an important first step towards a 
more equitable international refugee system.  It will be suggested that effective EU burden-sharing will 
help to already address the unequal distribution of refugee burdens in North South terms. (less shifting, 
more resources and political will  for tackling push factors).
  The question who actually gets recognized as a refugee is still a real issue among the EU Member 
States. The premise is often that an applicant will have the same chance of finding protection as a 
refugee in all EU countries. But this is not the case. In the Slovak Republic, for example, many of the 
asylum seekers are Chechens – a group that, for good reason, has a recognition rate of well over 50 
percent in several EU countries – yet by 30 September only two people had been granted asylum in the 
Slovak Republic out of 1,081 cases examined this year. In Greece, even when Saddam Hussein was 
still in power, less than 1 percent of Iraqi applicants were given refugee status, and the overall 
recognition rate fell last year to 0.6 per cent. It is not surprising that many asylum seekers move to 
countries where they think they have a better chance of having their claims recognized.  Ruud Lubbers 
(2004) EU should share asylum responsibilities, not shift them, UNHCR News, 5 November, 2004.  In 
a recent speech Lubbers stressed: 'We need to improve the quality and consistency in asylum decision-
making in Europe. It seems unacceptable to me that the same asylum seeker – a Chechen for example – 
has virtually zero chance of finding protection in one Member State, a 50% chance in another and close 
to 100% in a third. 'United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, Mr. Ruud Lubbers, Talking 
Points for the Informal Justice and Home Affairs Council (Luxembourg, 29 January 2005).  
  It has often been emphasised, that the traditional "countries of immigration" (Australia, Canada, New 
Zealand and the United States) offered resettlement places for up to 100,000 refugees in 2004, whereas 
Europe as a whole only made 4,700 places available.  United Nations High Commissioner for 
Refugees, Mr. Ruud Lubbers, Talking Points for the Informal Justice and Home Affairs Council 
(Luxembourg, 29 January 2005)
  For an attempt to apply the join-product model to refugee protection see Betts (2003).
  However, empirical tests on this in the area of refugee protection have produced mixed results.  
During the Kosovo conflict, Greek sensibilities concerning its minority in the north of Greece meant 
that Greece accepted a lot fewer Kosovo refugees than one would have expected on the basis of 
geographic proximity (Thielemann 2003).  
  This section draws on Thielemann (2004).
   A correlation describes the strength of an association between variables.  For a set of variable pairs, 
the correlation coefficient gives the strength of the association.  The correlation coefficient is a number 
between 0 and 1. If there is no relationship between the predicted values and the actual values the 
correlation coefficient is 0 or very low (the predicted values are no better than random numbers). As 
the strength of the relationship between the predicted values and actual values increases so does the 
correlation coefficient. A perfect fit gives a coefficient of 1.0.  Thus the higher the correlation 
coefficient the better.
  With the use of more advanced statistical techniques and the use of lagged independent variables, it 
can be shown that while newly introduced deterrence measures can have a significant effect on the 
relative distribution of asylum burden, this effect tends to be short lived due to copy-cat strategies by 
other countries which swiftly cancel out the desired effect of such measures (Thielemann 2003a).
  [Brussels, 2.6.2004, COM(2004) 401 final, COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO 
THE COUNCIL AND THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT, Area of Freedom, Security and Justice: 
Assessment of the Tampere programme and future orientations, {SEC(2004)680 et SEC(2004)693}, p. 
10].
  The fact that there indeed appear to be strict limits to cross-border solidarity in the Union should not 
surprise, considering how contested this notion is already in a national context.)
  The principle of solidarity was first explicitly used and accepted as a general principle of European 
law arising from the particular nature of the Communities in the case 'Commission vs. Italy' (ECJ 
1973, 102). See also Commission vs. Great Britain 128/78 (ECJ 1978, 419). For more details see 
Schieffer (1998: 204).
  United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, Mr. Ruud Lubbers, Talking Points for the 
Informal Justice and Home Affairs Council (Luxembourg, 29 January 2005).
  For a parallel, see Lumsdaine's (1993) analysis of the post-war foreign aid regime.
  The chosen indicators are of course not without their problems.  For example, Betts suggests in this 
issue that states' motivations for giving foreign aid might not be entirely altruistic.  Moreover, some 
countries (such as the Netherlands) include reception costs for asylum seekers in their ODA payments.  
In such a case, relatively high ODA figures will at least in part be a reflection of high numbers of 
asylum seekers rather than just an indication for the Netherlands' strong commitment to the developing 
world.  These caveats notwithstanding, the evidence presented here nonetheless appears to provide 
some support for the hypothesis that a state's willingness to accept burdens is related to its commitment 
to particular norms and the protection of certain rights.
  In other words, a failure to agree on a common approach would not only have increased pressures for 
a re-establishment of border controls in the Schengen area, thus threatening the operation of the Single 
Market, but would also have accelerated the drive towards burden-shifting and moves towards the 
lowest common denominator in border control and reception standards.
  It has been estimated that Western States spend around $10 billion each year on fewer than half a 
million asylum seekers, most of whom are not in need of international protection (Flint, in Betts 
2005:2).
  Global Consultations on International Protection, 2nd Meeting, EC/GC/01/12, 31 May 2001, 'Fair 
and efficient Asylum Procedures', Introduction, p. 2, Para.3; in Betts (2005).
  See e.g. Heckmann and Tomei (1997) who stress that above all burden-sharing offers some countries 
the prospect of reducing their own costs. It is therefore not at all surprising that the first substantial 
burden-sharing proposals in this area in the early 1990s were initiated by Germany, the EU country 
most affected by the war in former Yugoslavia.
  It has been suggested that the costs of states' asylum system differ significantly between countries 
(Jandl 1995; Liebaut 2000).  For example, Jandl (1995) suggests that the average costs per asylum 
seeker for processing, care and maintenance, varied between $16,596 in Denmark and $4622 in 
Austria.  From this one can safely assume that the costs in non-Western countries is a fraction of these 
estimates.  However, it is of course true that countries are not just (and perhaps not even primarily) 
concerned about the financial costs they incur but also the significant social and political costs involved 
in accepting refugees.
  Ruud Lubbers, UNHCR High Commissioner for Refugees, 5 November 2004
  UK and Ireland have opted in (para 22); Denmark is not participating in the adoption of the decision (para 23).

  The form of the suggested redistributive mechanism followed the example of German domestic 
legislation, which stipulates a population based key for the distribution of asylum seekers among the 
German Länder (see section 45 of the German Asylum Procedure Act (Asylverfahrensgesetz).
  Prior to the implementation of the dispersal policy in April 2000, around 90% of asylum seekers 
were housed in London and the South East.
  It is possible for states to decide not to trade at all but expect still an improvement on the status quo. 
'Even in this case, refugee protection would still be better off than under the existing system because of 
the quota state's commitment to its initial quota.' (Schuck 1997: 284).
  Schuck expects the market of potential transferee states to 'be reasonably crowded'.  'All states want, 
and most desperately need, the hard currency that the high-quota states would presumably use to pay 
for their quota discharges, although transferee states might also value other forms of payment.  Some 
potential transferee states might not been notably receptive to refugees but already have ethnically 
divers populations and may have vase empty spaces (and residential controls) for temporary protection 
or resettlement.  Russia and Brazil are examples.  Even a wealthy state with a sizable quota of tits own 
might nevertheless be willing to accept some additional refuges, especially if its costs of doing so are 
fully, or perhaps even more than fully, covered by a transferor's payment.  The state's motive might be 
humanitarian, ideological, ethnic, or geopolitical, rather than, or in additional to, the mercenary pursuit 
of hard currency (Schuck 1997: 242-3).
  According to Olsen's argument it is, other things being equal, the larger states whose actions will 
make more of a difference to the total common effort than the actions of small states. As a result, larger 
states will tend to contribute a disproportionate share to the overall effort as smaller states, whose 
individual contribution will not be as crucial anyway, have a strong incentive to free-ride on the efforts 
of the larger states.


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